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China breaks out in bird flu..... New]New bird flu strain called 'one of most lethal' viruses baffles scientists | Fox ...


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Old 04-25-2013, 04:58 PM   #1 (permalink)
 
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China breaks out in bird flu.....

New]New bird flu strain called 'one of most lethal' viruses baffles scientists | Fox News bird flu strain called 'one of most lethal' viruses baffles scientists
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Old 04-25-2013, 05:08 PM   #2 (permalink)
 
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Yep, happens every year
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Old 04-25-2013, 05:26 PM   #3 (permalink)
 
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This one is a little different.
IMO (as someone who has made his living a Science Adviser to Senior civilian and military leadership ) I can tell you a few features why it has the potential to make for interesting time:

- Its a triple reassorted virus and as such prone to more reassortment and gene ingestion
- Its transmission mode is not fully known. half of all infected people had no contact with poultry
- Its highly lethal


The difference between a virus that fizzles and one that turns into a major pandemic that kills millions can be very small.
It centers arpound the attachment point the virus uses on cell surfaces and/or its ability to survive as a fomite ( contact hazard.. most viruses are not good at this at all).

Any mutation that improves the virus transmission rate thru either venue may turn this into a huge killer.

May it fizzle? Yes, most likely.. but the difference between a fizzle and a pandemic virus can be small.

If it doesnt mutate it will certainly fizzle as it kinda already "had its chance" at causing a pandemic and failed.

But if it mutates in time it could be interesting
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Old 04-25-2013, 06:16 PM   #4 (permalink)
 
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I say stop immediately the importing of China's crap..bird flu or no bird flu..nobody wants their shit anyway.
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Old 04-25-2013, 06:44 PM   #5 (permalink)
 
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Originally Posted by palmerwmd View Post
This one is a little different.
IMO (as someone who has made his living a Science Adviser to Senior civilian and military leadership ) I can tell you a few features why it has the potential to make for interesting time:

- Its a triple reassorted virus and as such prone to more reassortment and gene ingestion
- Its transmission mode is not fully known. half of all infected people had no contact with poultry
- Its highly lethal


The difference between a virus that fizzles and one that turns into a major pandemic that kills millions can be very small.
It centers arpound the attachment point the virus uses on cell surfaces and/or its ability to survive as a fomite ( contact hazard.. most viruses are not good at this at all).

Any mutation that improves the virus transmission rate thru either venue may turn this into a huge killer.

May it fizzle? Yes, most likely.. but the difference between a fizzle and a pandemic virus can be small.

If it doesnt mutate it will certainly fizzle as it kinda already "had its chance" at causing a pandemic and failed.

But if it mutates in time it could be interesting
I understand what your saying. I work in Public Health so we see some form of this every year. We also find ourselves in that no win situation for yet another year. We will plan for the worst, hope for the best. Just like H1N1, we worked our ass's off and got done what we needed to get done. The publics perception is a lot of spent money for nothing.

I never ignore these kinds of notices, and I know.... we will be ready for this one too
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Old 04-25-2013, 08:18 PM   #6 (permalink)
 
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Originally Posted by Sgt. Rock View Post
I say stop immediately the importing of China's crap..bird flu or no bird flu..nobody wants their shit anyway.
Agreed, look at their population level. They are multiplying like rats and that's why u get crappy stuff from there cause someone who gets a few coins for work is not gonna give a crap about quality......
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